• ∃∀λ@programming.dev
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    25 days ago

    In other words, corporate leadership is starting from the premise that AI has (or will) radically change the business, and they’re working backwards from that premise to find the evidence to support this article of faith.

    Sounds familiar. The proof-of-work blockchain scheme which was the fad a while ago is also often described as a solution in search of a problem.

    • JoeBigelow@lemmy.ca
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      25 days ago

      I feel like block chain as a public ledger has found quite a few purposeful uses, and was a solution to a handful of problems most people rarely if ever encounter. Then fake money got involved

      • non_burglar@lemmy.world
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        25 days ago

        Yes, exactly.

        Block chain would have been an amazing solution to most democratic vote validation processes.

        • Valmond@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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          23 days ago

          Well no, because we don’t have a problem that blockchain solves (better than open software, if it must be digital), and there are loads of problems that the blockchain doesn’t solve. Like how am I supposed to vote with that thing under no coercion.

          • non_burglar@lemmy.world
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            23 days ago

            I’m not really sure what you’re getting at. The blockchain is a good mechanism to maintain a source of truth that is inspectable and verifiable by anyone. It would only serve to certify that official counts can’t be tampered with in certain ways.

            But it doesn’t replace the whole democratic voting process. It doesn’t protect against coercive voting, for instance.

            My point originally was that blockchain can be of use to us, but tech bros ruined its rep. Same with AI. I’ve been waiting for routers with ai-powered (really, just machine learning) firewalls that can adapt rules to environments. But instead of that, everyone is obsessed with generative stuff that isnt very good.

  • Mwa@thelemmy.club
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    24 days ago

    AI would be great if(currently its mixed for me,and whats the best thing you can do ATM ):

    • The Datacenters didnt drain like 3 oceans and half of the power grid(or used solar energy + air cooling only,the only way to solve this is Local LLMs currently or specific AI solutions that isnt ChatGPT or Gemini and so on. )
    • the LLM is not trained on copyrighted data(non-public domain) and not Paying the artists or not ask the original creator to train on their work.(Local LLMS partially solve this,and this requires specific LLMS too.)
    • People did not use AI mindlessly to write Code for you(well i think this requires the user to use their brain)

    and so on…
    and AI should stay as a “TOOL”, not a full replacement for human work like most sane people do.
    edit 1:
    i forgot to mention AI is a big contributer to the AI crisis.

    • MangoCats@feddit.it
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      24 days ago

      The Datacenters didnt drain like 3 oceans and half of the power grid

      Do a little research and look at the actual numbers - yes, it could grow to become a problem, no - AI data centers aren’t anywhere near that kind of problem yet. At the moment, after over a year of hype and growth, AI datacenters use less electricity than Bitcoin miners (which, in my opinion, is too damn much electricity for Bitcoin, but it doesn’t seem to set the news on fire the way AI power usage does.)

      not trained on copyrighted data

      A lot of really good data is copyrighted - there should be some way to cycle that benefit back to the people who made it in the first place. Bernie’s soverign wealth fund idea isn’t a bad one…

      People did not use AI mindlessly

      Good luck with that one.

      • Mwa@thelemmy.club
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        24 days ago

        Do a little research and look at the actual numbers - yes, it could grow to become a problem, no - AI data centers aren’t anywhere near that kind of problem yet. At the moment, after over a year of hype and growth, AI datacenters use less electricity than Bitcoin miners (which, in my opinion, is too damn much electricity for Bitcoin, but it doesn’t seem to set the news on fire the way AI power usage does.)

        but… but… i saw news about AI causing power grid issues,though i did also hear a power company shut down ai datacenter(s?) to free up electricity used .
        i also forgot to add AI causing the ram crisis thing.

        there should be some way to cycle that benefit back to the people who made it in the first place.

        exactly,also good idea.

        Bernie’s soverign wealth fund idea isn’t a bad one…

        i think its about making people own the AI??

        • MangoCats@feddit.it
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          24 days ago

          Bernie’s soverign wealth fund idea isn’t a bad one…

          i think its about making people own the AI??

          It’s modeled somewhat on the Alaska permanent fund, which is compensating Alaskans with profits from the oil being extracted from their state.

          There are unlimited ways to screw it up, but if AI suddenly becomes ridiculously profitable, having 50% of those profits cycled into the general fund could pay for things like UBI…

  • Slashme@lemmy.world
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    25 days ago

    I typed into Google “potatoes pressure cooker” to get a reminder of how long to cook them. The AI told me, and correctly said that I should use the steamer sieve, but also told me to salt the water. The water that would be under the potatoes and that wouldn’t touch them.

    I asked why, and the AI said that little splashes of salt water from the boiling would land on the surface of the potatoes and salt them gently, that the salt would increase the boiling temperature, and that the vapour would be aromatic.

    I pointed out that the amount of salt landing on the surface of the potatoes would be negligible, that the vapour is distilled water in gas form, and that the increase in boiling temperature from salting the water is less than 1°C. The AI said, oh yeah, you’re right on all counts. Don’t salt the water.

    What it has been doing was exactly what an LLM does. It gave me the received wisdom from the internet.

    That aligns with what Cory Doctorow was saying here, namely that all the AI successes were from people who already knew what they were doing and could use the AI as a tool. Not from people who had no clue and just let AI do the job.

    • SorryQuick@lemmy.ca
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      24 days ago

      That “AI” is a completely dumbed down one with reasoning disabled. Of course it’ll make stuff up.

  • jmsy@lemmy.world
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    24 days ago

    In my academic field of sustainability, AI still fails to explain what economic sustainability means. It’s very simple.

    I lecture and explain to my students that economic sustainability is about how we assess and manage our knowledge, innovations, wealth, and other man-made capital. I stress that it is ABSOLUTELY NOT profit and revenue.

    Sure enough, my students submit assignments clearly written by AI that state economic sustainability is profit and revenue.

    AI is regurgitating decades of green-washing and even bad academic articles that state economic sustainability is about profits. I use that AI god mode site to test several AI’s at once and they’ve consistently gotten this wrong for 3 years.

    • T3CHT @sh.itjust.works
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      24 days ago

      So you teach something different from the mainstream - cool. But don’t be surprised when students or AI cite others or take an alternative position.

      I’m no economist but I had plenty of professors who wanted their particular theories reflected back at them.

      While students should do their own reading and writing, using ‘they write mainstream ideas’ as a litmus test for writing and AI seems parochial. And I’d go so far as to say AI is becoming a standard research and writing aid like the web word processors, and you sound like teachers who ranted against those too.

      Have you engaged either group in open discussion about comparing the perspectives you’re challenging? I bet several modern models could debate your philosophy on merit, I wonder if you ever gave students the chance.

      • jmsy@lemmy.world
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        24 days ago

        I teach what is correct, but the incorrect mainstream understanding is what AI provides. It’s the crux of the problem I focus on in my research.

      • LePoisson@lemmy.world
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        24 days ago

        I’m pretty sure the fucking economist you’re replying to is not “teach(ing) something different from the mainstream” that’s the whole point of their post.

        The whole point is the AI tools are hallucinating* completely incorrect answers and that students trying to use them as study aids and tools to learn with are going to have a lot of fake and wrong information to sort out and good luck to them knowing what is or isn’t incorrect or wrong when they’re just trying to learn a subject they know nothing about.

        The only reason you or I or anyone else knows when AI hallucinates in its output is because we know stuff from our prior knowledge and can catch it that way. If you’re ignorant to a subject and trying to learn stuff you’re not going to know off hand the AI is lying to you if it sounds convincing enough for a layperson to accept.

        *which I kind of hate that term because to the AI there’s no difference between truth and hallucination - it’s just output as far as the robot is concerned

      • isleepinahammock@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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        24 days ago

        So you teach something different from the mainstream - cool. But don’t be surprised when students or AI cite others or take an alternative position.

        Not every class is debate. Plenty of courses are simply taught by an expert in their field, and students are graded on how well they learn from that professor’s instruction. Is it a perfect system? No. But that’s why we have experts. Some classes exist to simply establish a baseline of knowledge among the students. Such classes cannot be continuously derailed by engaging in rigorous debate about topics that experts in the field consider unambiguous and long-settled. Students are free to form their own opinions and whatever conclusions they want, but they need to demonstrate that they have at least learned the material as taught. You can believe the Universe is 6000 years old if you want. You cannot expect your astronomy professor to spend half the class debating with you about it.

        A creationist student doesn’t have to believe in evolution to get an A in an evolutionary biology class. But they do have to demonstrate mastery or at least competence in the principles of evolutionary biology as taught by their professor. If they want to view the whole course as “a silly exercise in memorizing the lies of evolutionists,” well they’re free to do so. It’s a free country. Believe whatever you want. But that doesn’t mean they can just write, “God did it” to every answer on the final and still receive a passing grade.

        You’re free to believe or reject anything a teacher or professor teaches you. That doesn’t mean you get out of learning the lesson entirely.

    • ID10T@programming.dev
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      24 days ago

      The trick that AI pulls is just that it is really good at appearing competent, and we as humans really bad at acknowledging how little we individually know about the world around us.

      The easiest example to ask AI detailed questions about something that you know you have expertise in. If you try to test its limit, no matter what your particular expertise is, I’m confident that in 5-10 minutes you’ll realize it’s no more intelligent than an average Joe who spent their lunch break Googling the subject or maybe someone who read a book about it once.

      To give credit where it’s due, that does mean that these AIs have a much wider breadth of knowledge than any one person could have and that is, objectively, very cool.

      On the other hand, that’s why it’s so easy to believe that AI is this all-knowing oracle that can replace all of humanity. It can give you a way better answer in an instant about things you know nothing about than you ever could off the top of your head, so it seems unbelievable. It’s instant gratification that also feels really valuable.

      Despite the trick that AI plays on our psychology, you could also just read a book or two or participate in any form of genuine learning, and it really doesn’t take long for you to outgrow whatever the AI is capable of. It takes a bit longer, but now you have grown your actual intelligence and you get to keep it for a $0/month subscription and they don’t need to build another data center in your backyard.

      • LePoisson@lemmy.world
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        24 days ago

        The trick that AI pulls is just that it is really good at appearing competent

        Yeah it’s almost like the AI is an unthinking machine trying to model what a person would answer to the question (prompt) provided to it.

        I’m so goddamn tired of people (not you) acting like an LLM “knows” anything nevermind whether it’s right or wrong or could even tell you if it didn’t know the answer. It’s not like a person that can say, “I don’t have that knowledge so I know any answer is likely wrong” the machine is going to give you an answer every time. That answer will never be “idk” it’ll be whatever hallucination it’s confident enough is right based on the model and training.

        I do think there are use cases for it and the technology is cool but the vision being sold and propping up our economy with a venture capitalist circle jerk is so far removed from reality.

  • Em Adespoton@lemmy.ca
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    25 days ago

    I don’t think they’re all lying; most are just misinformed or using the term differently than Cory.

    It’s like saying “global warming is changing everything.” Technically, not true, but the knock on effects of specific aspects of it recently hit an inflection point that causes it to affect the lives of everyone.

    This has also happened in the field of artificial intelligence; LLM chatbots are only the visible mushroom fruits of the vast mycelium network that has been silently growing underground for years.

  • Phoenixz@lemmy.ca
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    25 days ago

    What has AI changed so far?

    • Hardware prices are so far up that nobody can buy good hardware anymore
    • we have AI child porn now, awesome
    • we have AI undressing apps, cool
    • we have AI, the great cheat tool now † we have AI, the confidently wrong 20% of the time tool
    • we have AI, the great misinformation tool
    • we are at the brink of the largest economic collapse in human history caused again by the rich loving to play Russian roulette
    • there are a limited amount of actual useful applications as well, yay

    And all it cost us were millions of jobs, thousands of psychosis and deaths, hundreds of new loud polluting data centers, untold amounts of co2 when were right smack in the mids of a climate crisis…

    I’m not advocating for murdering the AI CEOs, but I’m definitely a fan of at least permanent tarring and feathering

  • AgentSeven@lemmy.zip
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    25 days ago

    It has become impossible to tell managers mesmerised by artificial intelligence that the tools are not, in fact, helpful.

    This is stupid. The tools are helpful. Overhyped? Sure. But to pretend they are in no way helpful is just wrong.

    • muusemuuse@sh.itjust.works
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      25 days ago

      Part of the problem is AI isn’t a literal thing with a fixed definition. It’s more of a marketing term that translates into “I want you to buy this thing”. So some things are considered AI that are legitimately useful and others are not and then there’s the debate if wether it’s because it really is AI or if it is and AI just sucks.

      • TheLegendaryAssholeOfJushinLiger@sh.itjust.works
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        25 days ago

        In other words, corporate leadership is starting from the premise that AI has (or will) radically change the business, and they’re working backwards from that premise to find the evidence to support this article of faith.

        This quote is quite funny in this context, because it’s literally what people do with AI. Half of the frontpage of lemmy is AI. The other half is people saying AI is bad with no realization of the irony, because they don’t see good AI. It’s like CGI. Everybody hates CGI, except they don’t. CGI is everywhere. They just hate bad CGI.

        • muusemuuse@sh.itjust.works
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          25 days ago

          What is AI? Explain as if i just woke up from a coma. We don’t have flying cars, we have dumpster deloreans, but everyone is talking about AI. What is it?

          • TheLegendaryAssholeOfJushinLiger@sh.itjust.works
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            25 days ago

            Since that was a lazy question I decided to be lazy and just copy paste it into Gemini. Enjoy! I have no idea what the point of this is!

            Artificial Intelligence isn’t a single technology; it has been a massive umbrella term since the 1950s. Broadly, it means creating computer systems capable of performing tasks that typically require human intelligence.

            If LLMs are just one tiny branch on the tree, here is what the rest of the tree looks like:

            Machine Learning (ML): This is the engine driving most modern AI. Instead of a human programmer writing strict "if/then" rules, we feed the computer massive amounts of data and let it figure out the rules itself. This is what powers your Netflix recommendations, credit card fraud detection, and the algorithm deciding what you see on social media.
            
            Computer Vision: Teaching computers to "see" and interpret the visual world. This is how self-driving cars identify stop signs versus pedestrians, how your phone unlocks when it sees your face, and how medical software spots anomalies in X-rays faster than human doctors.
            
            Robotics: The physical application of AI. This isn't just mechanical engineering; it is the software that allows a machine to navigate the unpredictable, physical world. This covers everything from the Roomba vacuuming your floor to automated factory arms and those creepy, dog-like robots from Boston Dynamics.
            
            Natural Language Processing (NLP): This is the branch focused on understanding and generating human language. LLMs live here, but so do older, simpler technologies like spellcheck, Google Translate, and the early versions of Siri or Alexa.
            
            Expert Systems & Rule-Based AI: This is the older, "classic" AI. It relies on a massive database of human knowledge programmed as logical rules. When the IBM computer Deep Blue beat the world chess champion in 1997, it wasn't using an LLM; it was using raw computational power to calculate millions of possible moves and their outcomes based on strict rules.
            
            Predictive Analytics & Optimization: The invisible math running the modern world. This is AI used by logistics companies to find the absolute most efficient routes for delivery trucks, or by hedge funds to execute high-frequency stock trades based on market micro-fluctuations.
            
    • vane@lemmy.world
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      25 days ago

      Nothing is helpful until you need help. The fact that you think AI is helpful for you don’t have to force me to use AI. If you pay me $100k+ per year and you force me to use your tools to do my job why you even hired me ? To force this cult on me or to do the job ?

  • abc@suppo.fi
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    23 days ago

    I’m gonna go ahead and assume that Doctorow’s actual stance isn’t as idiotic as the title suggests.

  • GoatSynagogue@lemmy.world
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    25 days ago

    On the contrary - the people who tell you AI doesn’t add any value and will disappear in a few years are either lying, dumb, or completely ignorant of what AI can already do.

    • Magister@lemmy.world
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      25 days ago

      I’m a software developer since the 90s, basically before the internet, we had some C books for reference and that’s it. I can tell you that I started last year to use copilot in vscode and some chatgpt on a web page, and it basically changed my world, and all my 50+ years old coworkers are amazed by what it can do really.

      You are right it will not fade at all in software development.

      • tyler@programming.dev
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        25 days ago

        Completely disagree. The difficult part of software development was never writing code OR speed of delivery. It was understanding requirements and problem solving. LLMs still can not do either of those things and there is no evidence they ever will be able to.

        An example of how harmful LLMs actually are to development can succinctly be described with an issue I had a few weeks ago. I found an issue in an open source project, code was fine if a bit hard to understand. I came up with a PR to fix the problem.

        In the time from me checking out the code to submitting the PR, a little less than 24 hours, the maintainer had completely rewritten the entire project with Claude. It was complete nonsense. Incredibly difficult to understand. Abstracting things that didn’t need abstracting. My PR was useless, because the entire project was new. The maintainer definitely didn’t understand the changes either. If a bug came up there’s no way AI would be able to solve it (the bug was still there even though the code was entirely new).

        LLMs don’t understand the code. They just make things that look like they will work. And then a human has to maintain it (or keep paying billions of dollars for Claude to try to fix it).

          • tyler@programming.dev
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            24 days ago

            I gave one example. In fact that’s one of the least bad examples. If that was the only problem with LLMs it wouldn’t really be that bad. But the actual reality is so much worse. But I was arguing to the point that the person I replied to made, which was about development. The problems I have with AI are not fixable without literally every government on earth taking a stand, which just will not happen.

            • GoatSynagogue@lemmy.world
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              24 days ago

              Using LLMs for development is fantastic as long as you know how to use it, which is how it is for every tool.

              The difference with LLMs and other tools is that anyone can use them easily and get incredible results……as long as you don’t look under the covers. The developers that use them well are getting results and code that are indistinguishable from code they’d write themselves.

    • TheLegendaryAssholeOfJushinLiger@sh.itjust.works
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      25 days ago

      The echo chamber on this site about AI is really quite something. Someone confidently told me Mythos probably didn’t exist and they were upvoted for it and I was downvoted for pointing out the existence of Project Glasswing.

      Like, Mythos isn’t real? Fable has been out for like two months lmao

  • belochka@lemmy.world
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    24 days ago

    I mean, the article actually says that they are not lying.

    But the truth they are telling is that this kind of tools is like Yuuzhan-Vong assistants in Star Wars NJO era. It’s just further in the direction of auto-complete and recommendations.

    That’s good. It also means that a real job can’t be “done by AI”.

    It’s another kind of data compression, in a very fundamental and general way.

    It accelerates the most things that shouldn’t be done at all. Boilerplate code that’s written again and again because of wrong processes, which are taught as standard way of thinking and doing development. Other things that could be a higher-level programming/markup language or a library. Just a frontal way of solving things that were done by hand.

    That’s useful, one can’t do everything by hand.

    Just - things that require real human decisions, understanding, responsibility, choice, or semantic and semiotic context that has formed in the course of one’s own life for like 20 years - that they can’t do. And that’s what forms a professional. They can extrapolate stuff that doesn’t matter.

    • xiii@lemmy.world
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      23 days ago

      I have a few examples of people replaced by AI.

      Photoshop slop cheap ads on the streets and TV are mostly AI slop now.

      Content creators, publishers, media, music industries are all heavily affected.

      The company I know paid $2K for wireframe UX design instead of standard $10K UX + UI. UI part was done by AI ($8K in human labor was replaced by AI)

      I know a few companies stuck with ancient software that have been paying salaries to generations of programmers, this software is being replaced by AI, quite fast too.

      I know positions which are in essence “receive a fax and type it into the system” right now being replaced by AI.

      This is neither pro- nor anti- AI stance. Saying that a chatbot will ultimately replace humans is lying — they need to justify trillions in valuations.

      Saying that AI is not severely changing our society is ignorance and head in the sand tactics.

      The majority of Internet traffic are bots. I’m terrified of the upcoming elections with all the deepfakes and bot campaigns.

      • belochka@lemmy.world
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        20 days ago

        Yes, cheap slop made by humans being made by generative models - that I can see too.

        And when all UI design is the same squares-and-shadows sad thing, doing that with a generative model makes sense too.

        Unoriginal tasks are being optimized.

        That happens with every technology, nothing unexpected, if your expectations of the future were formed by philosophy and science fiction, and not specific courses in school or university or job experience.

        A chatbot won’t replace humans making decisions or with roles in social hierarchy, it also won’t replace humans in anything inventive or artful. It can replace any human functioning as a detail in a mechanism.

        Depends what you mean by “severely changing”, in some sense this is return to normalcy.

  • Krusty@quokk.au
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    25 days ago

    I was talking about roof sheathing with the latest chat gpt.

    It was confident the joists should go above the sheathing.

    • sammy_miami@piefed.world
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      25 days ago

      LLMs seem to be pretty bad at home improvement sort of questions in my experience. I suspect they don’t have a team of carpenters they use to RL the models, like they do for software engineers, etc

      • tempest@lemmy.ca
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        25 days ago

        Software is easier because you can basically ‘inspect the house’ and the ‘home inspector’ via software.

        Harder to do that with a house. Also a lot of different rules based on locality.

        • Rooster326@programming.dev
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          25 days ago

          Reminder it doesn’t know anything.

          It is just mimicking text it has been programmed for.

          For it to be “good” at mimicking home improvement, it’s source needed to be full of home improvement talk. The best carpenters, plumbers, whatever aren’t on reddit, or wherever talking shop. They’re working, or making OSHA jokes at the bar.

  • joe@lemmy.world
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    25 days ago

    I generally respect this guy’s opinion (I probably use the term “enshitification” multiple times a week!), but pretending that “AI” and “Chabot” are interchangeable terms seems wildly reductive, and the subtle presumption that the process of changing is a binary changed/non-changed situation instead of a curve is just ignorant.

    If the internet was “turned off” after 4 or so years not much would have changed, either.

    • mushroommunk@lemmy.today
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      25 days ago

      To the average person (and this includes politicians, basically anyone not a software engineer developing the tools )who Cory generally writes to try and inform, they are the same.

      Should they be? No. But that’s a whole different thing and trying to change that in the general public mind doesn’t change his current point about AI as the public thinks of it right now.

      • joe@lemmy.world
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        25 days ago

        Speaking at the level of your target audience is wise, but there is a point where information is not just simplfied, but lost, and I think equating chat bots with AI in the broader sense is past that point. It would be like equating websites with the internet.

        • raspberriesareyummy@lemmy.world
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          25 days ago

          I think the comparison is acceptable with maybe a terminology clarification in the footnotes, because “AI” is the false term under which this current bullshit is being marketed.

          And people who believe the core mechanism in large language models to be AI are so uneducated that they will probably neither understand the distinction to legitimate AI research, nor bother to read footnotes.

    • non_burglar@lemmy.world
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      25 days ago

      Corey Doctorow isn’t speaking to you, he’s speaking to the many, many people who have been fooled by the ai craze.

      • MangoCats@feddit.it
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        25 days ago

        And often I wonder, how many people have been fooled, and how much of the enthusiasm and over the top fantasy is astroturfing by a few people incentivized to sway public opinion?

        • TheLegendaryAssholeOfJushinLiger@sh.itjust.works
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          25 days ago

          And how much of the doomerism is a campaign to keep the common man from using a revolutionary tool for, well, revolution, by alienating those most likely to do revolutionary things with it?

          Once you look at the actual numbers for pollution, water usage, etc it becomes very clear that the issues are vastly overstated. So, why?

            • TheLegendaryAssholeOfJushinLiger@sh.itjust.works
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              25 days ago

              Yeah. I guess we’ll see.

              EDIT: you should go on claude’s reddit and look at all of the tools people have built to keep companies and politicians accountable, to renegotiate billing, to improve their lives at the expense of capital. Or you can just go on thinking you’re right!

              • Bluescluestoothpaste@sh.itjust.works
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                25 days ago

                Fuck reddit but i have a friend who automated fooa requests with claude, sent foia requests to every county in the state and has all the tracking and everything automated. Only thing he needs to do is review the emails before they get sent. It’s amazing and he’s bring transparency to every corner of the state using ai.